Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.640952 0.733284 0.833361 0.949780 1.081373 1.225395 1.394849
2025-02-09 0.490578 0.613626 0.758277 0.940411 1.163132 1.426110 1.759646
2025-02-16 0.382152 0.519318 0.693125 0.928419 1.237410 1.627985 2.157594
2025-02-23 0.304838 0.447634 0.641636 0.922419 1.315968 1.845108 2.607050
2025-03-02 0.247072 0.390127 0.597526 0.916828 1.391923 2.067616 3.094906
2025-03-09 0.207642 0.350759 0.571094 0.930120 1.494223 2.338347 3.685987
2025-03-16 0.171931 0.309733 0.534324 0.920390 1.558693 2.560076 4.232665
2025-03-23 0.149347 0.285544 0.519468 0.941744 1.673018 2.870307 4.953010
2025-03-30 0.125933 0.255130 0.488599 0.930393 1.730168 3.093945 5.559354
2025-04-06 0.110461 0.236196 0.474378 0.945134 1.832752 3.403561 6.344369
2025-04-13 0.092989 0.209837 0.441796 0.920394 1.859637 3.583260 6.922044
2025-04-20 0.084401 0.199935 0.439140 0.952025 1.995025 3.971567 7.917115
2025-04-27 0.077850 0.193399 0.442652 0.997405 2.165020 4.447218 9.136152
2025-05-04 0.068965 0.179851 0.429241 1.005672 2.261712 4.794146 10.149426
2025-05-11 0.060663 0.165976 0.412757 1.004673 2.338796 5.110980 11.139161
2025-05-18 0.053690 0.153920 0.398331 1.005888 2.420477 5.445910 12.202314
2025-05-25 0.047550 0.142705 0.383939 1.004814 2.496615 5.777249 13.293625
2025-06-01 0.043203 0.135401 0.377864 1.022603 2.617993 6.218602 14.666682
2025-06-08 0.038160 0.125026 0.362183 1.014095 2.676035 6.526336 15.779222
2025-06-15 0.035166 0.120015 0.359728 1.038904 2.817822 7.037902 17.400915
2025-06-22 0.031117 0.110860 0.344399 1.027366 2.867391 7.341214 18.576159
2025-06-29 0.028542 0.105817 0.339768 1.044149 2.991554 7.834106 20.245694
2025-07-06 0.024897 0.096372 0.320646 1.017357 2.997608 8.041435 21.252816